Publications in VIVO

Co-author Network

Co-investigator Network

John T Abatzoglou Person

Positions

Associate Professor, Geography , College of Science 2014 - 2020
Principal Investigator, Regional Approaches to Climate Change - Pacific Northwest Agriculture 2011 - 2017

Geographic Focus

United States of America Country

People

member of

American Geophysical Union Member
American Meteorological Society Member
International Association of Wildland Fire Member

Publications

selected publications

academic article
- Satellite-Based Drought Reporting on the Navajo Nation. Journal of the American Water Resources Association. 2021
- Projected Changes of Precipitation Characteristics Depend on Downscaling Method and Training Data: MACA versus LOCA Using the US Northeast as an Example. Journal of Hydrometeorology. 21:2739-2758. 2020
- Verification of Red Flag Warnings across the Northwestern U.S. as Forecasts of Large Fire Occurrence. Fire. 3:60. 2020
- Climate Change is Increasing the Likelihood of Extreme Autumn Wildfire Conditions across California. Environmental Research Letters. 15:094016. 2020
- A 30-Yr Climatology of Meteorological Conditions Associated with Lightning Days in the Interior Western United States. Journal of Climate. 33:3771-3785. 2020
- Multivariate Climate Departures Have Outpaced Univariate Changes Across Global Lands. Scientific Reports. 10:3891 . 2020
- Modeling Soil Wind Erosion From Agroecological Classes of the Pacific Northwest in Response to Current Climate. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres. 125:e2019JD031104. 2020
- Best practices for estimating near-surface air temperature lapse rates. International Journal of Climatology. 2020
- Projected Changes in Interannual Variability of Peak Snowpack Amount and Timing in the Western United States. Geophysical Research Letters. 2019
- Warming Winters Reduce Chill Accumulation for Peach Production in the Southeastern United States. Climate. 7:94. 2019
- Changes in Fire Activity in Africa from 2002 to 2016 and Their Potential Drivers. Geophysical Research Letters. 46:7643-7653. 2019
- Representative Agricultural Pathways, Climate Change, and Agricultural Land Uses: an Application to the Pacific Northwest of the USA. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change. 24:819-837. 2019
- Human-Environmental Drivers and Impacts of the Globally Extreme 2017 Chilean Fires. Ambio. 48:350-362. 2019
- Planning for Idaho's Waterscapes: A Review of Historical Drivers and Outlook for the Next 50 Years. Environmental Science and Policy. 94:191-201. 2019
- Warming Alters Hydrologic Heterogeneity: Simulated Climate Sensitivity of Hydrology-Based Microrefugia in the Snow-to-Rain Transition Zone. Water Resources Research. 55:2122-2141. 2019
- Weather Tools for Retrospective Assessment of Restoration Outcomes. Rangeland Ecology and Management. 72:225-229. 2019
- Microclimatic buffering in forests of the future: the role of local water balance. Ecography. 42:1-11. 2019
- A dataset on human perception of and response to wildfire smoke.. Scientific Data. 6:229. 2019
- Climate will increasingly determine post-fire tree regeneration success in low-elevation forests, Northern Rockies, USA. Ecosphere. 10:e02568. 2019
- Consequences of climatic thresholds for projecting fire activity and ecological change. Global Ecology and Biogeography. 28:521-532. 2019
- Contribution of large-scale midlatitude disturbances to hourly precipitation extremes in the United States. Climate Dynamics. 52:197-208. 2019
- Drought and Moisture Availability and Recent Western Spruce Budworm Outbreaks in the Western United States. Forests. 10:354. 2019
- Global Emergence of Anthropogenic Climate Change in Fire Weather Indices. Geophysical Research Letters. 46:326-336. 2019
- Modeling Current and Future Potential Distributions of Milkweeds and the Monarch Butterfly in Idaho. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution. 7:168. 2019
- Observed Impacts of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Wildfire in California. Earths Future. 7:892-910. 2019
- Spatiotemporal prediction of wildfire size extremes with Bayesian finite sample maxima. Ecological Applications. 29:e01898. 2019
- Using the Arctic water resources vulnerability index in assessing and responding to environmental change in Alaskan communities. Climate Risk Management. 23:19-31. 2019
- An integrated dataset for stakeholder perceptions of environmental change and instrumented measures of change. Data in Brief. 21:1721-1723. 2018
- The role of perceptions versus instrumented data of environmental change: Responding to changing environments in Alaska. Environmental Science and Policy. 90:110-121. 2018
- Global patterns of interannual climate-fire relationships. Global Change Biology. 24:5164-5175. 2018
- Adaptation with climate uncertainty: An examination of agricultural land use in the United States. Land Use Policy. 77:392-401. 2018
- Community-based observing networks and systems in the Arctic: Human perceptions of environmental change and instrument-derived data. Regional Environmental Change. 18:547-559. 2018
- Effect of Reduced Summer Cloud Shading on Evaporative Demand and Wildfire in Coastal Southern California. Geophysical Research Letters. 45:5653-5662. 2018
- Evaluating opportunities for an increased role of winter crops as adaptation to climate change in dryland cropping systems of the U.S. Inland Pacific Northwest. Climatic Change. 146:247-261. 2018
- Fire Refugia: What Are They, and Why Do They Matter for Global Change?. BioScience. 68:944-954. 2018
- Natural and managed watersheds show similar responses to recent climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 115:8553-8557. 2018
- Shifts in the thermal niche of almond under climate change. Climatic Change. 147:211-224. 2018
- Spatiotemporal patterns of unburned areas within fire perimeters in the northwestern United States from 1984 to 2014. Ecosphere. 9:e02029. 2018
- TerraClimate, a high-resolution global dataset of monthly climate and climatic water balance from 1958-2015.. Scientific Data. 5:170191. 2018
- Climate Engine: Cloud Computing and Visualization of Climate and Remote Sensing Data for Advanced Natural Resource Monitoring and Process Understanding. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 98.0:2397.0-2410.0. 2017
- The 2015 drought in Washington State: a harbinger of things to come?. Environmental Research Letters. 12. 2017
- Climate impacts on agricultural land use in the USA: the role of socio-economic scenarios. Climatic Change. 144.0:329.0-345.0. 2017
- Comparing mechanistic and empirical approaches to modeling the thermal niche of almond. International Journal of Biometeorology. 61:1593-1606. 2017
- Projections of 21st century climate of the Columbia River Basin. Climate Dynamics. 49.0:1783.0-1799.0. 2017
- Recent and future climate suitability for whitebark pine mortality from mountain pine beetles varies across the western US. Forest Ecology and Management. 399.0:132.0-142.0. 2017
- Trends and drivers of fire activity vary across California aridland ecosystems. Journal of Arid Environments. 144.0:110.0-122.0. 2017
- Designing ecological climate change impact assessments to reflect key climatic drivers.. Global Change Biology. 23:2537-2553. 2017
- Human exposure and sensitivity to globally extreme wildfire events. Nature Ecology and Evolution. 1.0. 2017
- Evaluation of Statistical Downscaling of North American Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts over the Western United States. Weather and Forecasting. 32:327-341. 2017
- Effects of fire radiative energy density dose on Pinus contorta and Larix occidentalis seedling physiology and mortality. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 26:82-94. 2017
- Human-started wildfires expand the fire niche across the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 114:2946-2951. 2017
- Using Scientific Conferences to Engage the Public on Climate Change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 98:225-230. 2017
- Climate influences on whitebark pine mortality from mountain pine beetle in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem. Ecological Applications. 26:2505-2522. 2016
- Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 113:11770-11775. 2016
- Development of high-resolution (250 m) historical daily gridded air temperature data using reanalysis and distributed sensor networks for the US Northern Rocky Mountains. International Journal of Climatology. 36:3620-3632. 2016
- Spatial coherence of extreme precipitation events in the Northwestern United States. International Journal of Climatology. 36:2451-2460. 2016
- Contribution of Cutoff Lows to Precipitation across the United States*. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 55:893-899. 2016
- Controls on interannual variability in lightning-caused fire activity in the western US. Environmental Research Letters. 11. 2016
- Projected changes in cold hardiness zones and suitable overwinter ranges of perennial crops over the United States. Environmental Research Letters. 11. 2016
- How will climate change affect wildland fire severity in the western US?. Environmental Research Letters. 11. 2016
- The Science of Firescapes: Achieving Fire-Resilient Communities. BioScience. 66:130-146. 2016
- Towards a new paradigm in fire severity research using dose-response experiments. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 25:158-166. 2016
- Quantifying the human influence on fire ignition across the western USA. Ecological Applications. 26:2388-2399. 2016
- Simulated water budget of a small forested watershed in the continental/maritime hydroclimatic region of the United States. Hydrological Processes. 2016
- Wildland fire deficit and surplus in the western United States, 1984-2012. Ecosphere. 6:1-13. 2015
- Improved Bias Correction Techniques for Hydrological Simulations of Climate Change. Journal of Hydrometeorology. 16:2421-2442. 2015
- Development of Soil Moisture Drought Index to Characterize Droughts. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering. 20. 2015
- Climate Contributors to Forest Mosaics: Ecological Persistence Following Wildfire. Northwest Science. 89:219-238. 2015
- Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012-2014. Geophysical Research Letters. 42:6819-6828. 2015
- Forest structure and species traits mediate projected recruitment declines in western US tree species. Global Ecology and Biogeography. 24:917-927. 2015
- The Changing Strength and Nature of Fire-Climate Relationships in the Northern Rocky Mountains, U.S.A., 1902-2008. PLOS One. 10. 2015
- Climate change presents increased potential for very large fires in the contiguous United States. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 24:892-899. 2015
- Indicators of climate change in Idaho: An assessment framework for coupling biophysical change and social perception. Weather Climate and Society. 2015
- Limitations and utilisation of Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity products for assessing wildfire severity in the USA. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 24:1023-1028. 2015
- Multi-scalar influence of weather and climate on very large-fires in the Eastern United States. International Journal of Climatology. 35:2180-2186. 2015
- Projected changes in snowfall extremes and interannual variability of snowfall in the western United States. Water Resources Research. 51:960-972. 2015
- Seasonal reversal of the influence of El Nino-Southern Oscillation on very large wildfire occurrence in the interior northwestern United States. Geophysical Research Letters. 42:3538-3545. 2015
- Vegetation, topography and daily weather influenced burn severity in central Idaho and western Montana forests. Ecosphere. 6. 2015
- Climate and very large wildland fires in the contiguous western USA. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 23:899-914. 2014
- Agroecological factors correlated to soil DNA concentrations of Rhizoctonia in dryland wheat production zones of Washington State, USA. Phytopathology. 104:683-691. 2014
- Defining extreme wildland fires using geospatial and ancillary metrics. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 23:322-337. 2014
- Observed and projected changes in absolute temperature records across the contiguous United States. Geophysical Research Letters. 41:6501-6508. 2014
- October 2013 Blizzard In Western South Dakota. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 95:S23-S26. 2014
- Regional projections of the likelihood of very large wildland fires under a changing climate in the contiguous Western United States. Climatic Change. 126:455-468. 2014
- Seasonal Climate Variability and Change in the Pacific Northwest of the United States. Journal of Climate. 27:2125-2142. 2014
- Tracking Interannual Streamflow Variability with Drought Indices in the U.S. Pacific Northwest. Journal of Hydrometeorology. 15:1900-1912. 2014
- Evaluation of CMIP5 20th century climate simulations for the Pacific Northwest USA. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres. 118:1-23. 2013
- Diagnosing Santa Ana Winds in Southern California with Synoptic-Scale Analysis. Weather and Forecasting. 28:704-710. 2013
- Camouflage mismatch in seasonal coat color due to decreased snow duration. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 110:7360-7365. 2013
- Drought characteristics' role in widespread aspen forest mortality across Colorado, USA. Global Change Biology. 19:1526-1537. 2013
- Regional Surges of Monsoonal Moisture into the Southwestern United States. Monthly Weather Review. 141:182-191. 2013
- Climate extreme and its linkage to regional drought over Idaho, USA. Natural Hazards. 65:653-681. 2013
- Climate extremes and their linkage to regional drought over Idaho, USA. Natural Hazards. 65:653-681. 2013
- Development of gridded surface meteorological data for ecological applications and modelling. International Journal of Climatology. 33:121-131. 2013
- Relationships between climate and macroscale area burned in the western United States. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 2013
- The Ancient Blue Oak Woodlands of California: Longevity and Hydroclimatic History. Earth Interactions. 17:1-23. 2013
- The climate velocity of the contiguous United States during the 20th century. Global Change Biology. 19:241-251. 2013
- A comparison of statistical downscaling methods suited for wildfire applications. International Journal of Climatology. 32:772-780. 2012
- An Evaluation of Multiscalar Drought Indices in Nevada and Eastern California. Earth Interactions. 16. 2012
- Wildfire consumption and interannual impacts by land cover in Alaskan Boreal forest. Fire Ecology. 8:98-114. 2012
- The identification of distinct patterns in California temperature trends. Climatic Change. 108:357-382. 2011
- A Tree-Ring Reconstruction of the Salinity Gradient in the Northern Estuary of San Francisco Bay. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science. 9. 2011
- Changes in Climatic Water Balance Drive Downhill Shifts in Plant Species' Optimum Elevations. Science (New York, N.Y). 331:324-327. 2011
- Climate Change in Western US Deserts: Potential for Increased Wildfire and Invasive Annual Grasses. Rangeland Ecology and Management. 64:471-478. 2011
- Empirical downscaling of daily minimum air temperature at very fine resolutions in complex terrain. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 151:1066-1073. 2011
- Influence of the PNA on declining mountain snowpack in the Western United States. International Journal of Climatology. 31:1135-1142. 2011
- Relative importance of weather and climate on wildfire growth in interior Alaska. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 20:479-486. 2011
- Response to Comments on ”Changes in climatic water balance drive downhill shifts in plant species optimum elevations”. Science (New York, N.Y). 334:177-177. 2011
- How much influence does landscape-scale physiography have on air temperature in a mountain environment?. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 149:1751-1758. 2009
- Tracking the rhythm of the seasons in the face of global change: phenological research in the 21st century. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. 7:253-260. 2009
- Classiﬁcation of Regional Climate Variability in the State of California. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 48:1527-1541. 2009
- Fire behavior, weather, and burn severity of the 2007 Anaktuvuk River tundra fire, North Slope, Alaska. Arctic Antarctic and Alpine Research. 41:309-316. 2009
- Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Summertime Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Activity over the Continental United States. Monthly Weather Review. 137:3596-3601. 2009
- Wave breaking along the stratospheric polar vortex as seen in ERA-40 data. Geophysical Research Letters. 34:L08812-L08812. 2007
- Asymmetry between trends in spring and autumn temperature and circulation regimes over western North America. Geophysical Research Letters. 34. 2007
- Opposing Effects of Reflective and Nonreflective Planetary Wave Breaking on the NAO. Journal of Atmospheric Sciences. 63:3448-3457. 2006
- Planetary Wave Breaking and Nonlinear Reﬂection: Seasonal Cycle and Interannual Variability. Journal of Climate. 19:6139-6152. 2006
- Nonlinear planetary wave reflection in the troposphere. Geophysical Research Letters. 31. 2004
article
- Questionable evidence of natural warming of the northwestern United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 111:E5605-E5606. 2014
- Understanding El Nino for your fire management unit. Wildfire Lessons Learned. 2010
- Phenological trend estimation: a reply to Sagarin, Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. 7:296-296. 2009
chapter
- A Primer on Global Climate-Change Science. Climate Change: What It Means For Us, Our Children, and Our Grandchildren. 15-52. 2014
- Climate-Change Effects, Adaptation, and Mitigation. Climate Change: What It Means For Us, Our Children, and Our Grandchildren. 53-104. 2014
- Current Climate and Recent Trends. Regional Climate Studies. 53-94. 2014
- Wilderness Fire Management in a Changing Environment. Landscape Ecology of Fire. 269-294. 2011
- Chapter 2: A Primer on Global Climate Change Science. Climate Change: What It Means for Us, Our Children, and Our Grandchildren. 11-44. 2007
- Chapter 3: Climate Change Effects: Global and Local Views. Climate Change: What It Means for Us, Our Children, and Our Grandchildren. 45-64.
conference paper
- The Conﬂuence of Weather and Climate Stressors Contributing to the Fires of 1910 2010
editorial article
- The era of megafires: the crisis facing California and what will happen next 2018
report
- Indicators of Climate Change in California 2013
- 8-km Historical Datasets for FPA. CEFA Reports. 2009
- The Meteorological and Climatological Fire Extremes of California 2008. CEFA Reports. 2009
video
- Climate Change Projections: Understanding, Using & Accessing the Data 2014

featured in

Climate Change Projections: Understanding, Using & Accessing the Data Video

Research

principal investigator on

WestWide Drought Tracker: Monitoring Drought at Fine Spatial Scales Across the Western US awarded by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 2008 - 2013
Downscaling for Climate Change Assessment awarded by Western Wildland Environmental Threat Assessment Center 2010 - 2012
Fine Scale Climate Modeling, Agreement with Rocky Mountain Research Station awarded by United States Forest Service 2009 - 2012
Downscaled climate projections for the Bull Run Watershed awarded by Portland Water Bureau 2013 -

co-principal investigator on

Impacts of a Changing Climate on Water Resources in the Eastern Great Basin awarded by United States Bureau of Reclamation 2011 - 2013
Understanding climate impacts on fuels management awarded by Joint Fire Science Program 2008 - 2012
A prototype system for predicting insect and climate-induced impacts on fire hazard in complex terrain awarded by National Aeronautics and Space Administration 2013 -
Seattle Public Utility (SPU) Piloting Utility Modeling Applications (PUMA) project awarded by Seattle Public Utilities 2013 -
Integrated climate scenarios of the Pacific Northwest awarded by USGS Northwest Climate Science Center 2012 -
Toward next generation downscaling for hydrologic prediction in the Pacific Northwest awarded by USGS Northwest Climate Science Center 2011 -
Future mega-fires and smoke impacts awarded by Joint Fire Science Program 2011 -
Climate Decision Support Consortium: assessment services for the Pacific Northwest awarded by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 2010 -
Disappearing refugia: identifying trends and resilience in unburned islands under climate change awarded by United States Geological Survey

investigator on

Weather data and forecasting applications for management of ecological site transitions awarded by National Institute for Food and Agriculture 2012 - 2015
Regional Approaches to Climate Change for Pacific Northwest Agriculture awarded by National Institute for Food and Agriculture 2011 - 2014
Extratropical Control of Gulf Surges: the Role of Rossby Wave Breaking and Associated Mesoscale Processes awarded by NSF Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences (AGS) 2008 - 2013

Teaching

is major professor for

Background

education and training

Ph.D. in Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine 2006
B.S. in Atmospheric Science, University of California, Davis 2000

Contact

full name

John T Abatzoglou